Predictibilidad conductual y proceso penal: algunos apuntes sobre el fundamento epistémico de los hechos futuros en las medidas cautelares

Mora Sánchez, Jeffry José
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The determination of future events in a criminal process implies a predictive behavioral judgment that, like any other decision, must be based on solid epistemic elements and generated from valid inferential reasoning. From the indicated perspective, the evidentiary inference that the judge makes, to endorse the provision of a precautionary measure, must incorporate a guarantee, consisting of maxims of experience, presumptions or definitions. The present text deals with evaluating, based on the Costa Rican criminal procedural design, how this inferential reasoning should be presented, as well as the contributions that cognitive psychology, actuarial instruments and artificial intelligence can provide, with the objective of building rational and intersubjectively controllable judicial resolutions, in an area as relevant as that of precautionary measures and preventive detention ​
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